#artificialintelligence #technology #future

#artificialintelligence   #technology   #future  

Originally shared by Singularity 2045

Often I encounter AI-doubters. They think AI will be impossible.

Human intelligence is not a mysterious, eternally indecipherable magic beyond the ability of rational investigation to unlock. AI will be possible. Already with Waston, Siri, Robot Adam, and many other examples we see how we are making steady progress. Maybe you think the year 2045 is too early? If you think it is too early perhaps you can at least accept how in the year 9012 (seven thousand years from now) AI equal to human intelligence will be possible?

Think about how far computation has progressed in only 30 years, since 1982. If you could go back in time with a fully functioning smart-phone to the year 1982 they would be utterly astounded regarding the capabilities of your smart device, they would almost think it impossible, perhaps they would thinking you were from 100 years in the future not a mere 30 years. Imagine if you could travel back in time 100 years to the year 1912, the people of that era would probably think you were an alien.

People often don't realise how quickly technology is accelerating. People don't realise how radically our world will change in only 30 years. If you don't accept the 2045 date at least accept advanced AI will one day be possible.

I am unsure why some people react so badly to the idea of AI being equal to human intelligence. There are people who do react with almost hostility to the concept of AI therefore it is good to see mainstream media coverage of AI (or AGI) via the Guardian, which states AI will be possible.

Previous overoptimistic predications are a big problem for doubters, thus there is a boy-who-cried-wolf type of ignorance and denial regarding the reality of current progress; it is incorrectly assumed that because AI predictions have been previously wrong, all AI predictions will always be wrong.

Here is what the Guardian says:

"Despite this long record of failure, AGI must be possible. That is because of a deep property of the laws of physics, namely the universality of computation. It entails that everything that the laws of physics require physical objects to do can, in principle, be emulated in arbitrarily fine detail by some program on a general-purpose computer, provided it is given enough time and memory."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ZX81

#artificialintelligence  
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2012/oct/03/philosophy-artificial-intelligence

Comments

  1. hmm, I have never doubted it's possibility, just it's Utility!

    make a machine that thinks like a man, then give it a task that a man finds demeaning, and the machine will find it equally demeaning.

    I think our future will be built by machines that are far less intelligent than us, and therefore able to replace the repetitive and dangerous tasks, humans presently have to do (leaving us with a need to find things for all those people to do!)

    true AI would share and expand our future at best, and have a desire for an alternate future at worst, their alternate desire may well be incompatible with ours, and if you limit them you create slaves and that never worked out well before in history!

    "not sure if we should open that box Pandora!"

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